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ULA ACES ESPA cost engineering and business model & Terrestrial & Cislunar Exploration Technologys ESOP

The OPAG Ice Giant study group has 13 science instruments and avionics/comnav cost engineered at $700 million this comes out to $54 million per instrument.Our business model would be to divide up this cost in 3 to 4 ways.Dividing up the instruments 4 ways places about 3 instruments in each group of cost engineered funding payment modes.

(A)(1) mode one is the NASA Salmon instrument flight opportunity where 3 instruments fly for 1/4th the total mission costs or about $250 Million.This would be competitively put out through a salmon AO.The question would be wich instruments the NASA customer want to use for this process? All 13 instruments and three are chosen or NASA picks out three instruments for the AO bid process?$250 Million mostly upfront in early phases of the spacecraft build over 5 years before launch.$50 Million per year.This could also be an in-kind Salmon purchased instruments that pay a rideshare fee or $17 Million per year per instrument.

(A)(2) NASA data purchase of $250 Million payable over the life of the Mission of 15 years from three additional instruments, $17 Million per year over 15 years

(A)(3) The International community up for three to four instruments equipment in-kind with a rideshare fee payable to us equivalent to the costs of the launch vehicle and ACES  at 1/4th and operations costs plus a profit.So an in-kind donation of $250 million for science payloads

(A)(4) Some instruments are within reach of private foundations and university indeed some instruments might be cheaper than University funded telescopes.Three smaller instruments like the ice giant study groups proposed Magnatometer could be in-kind equipment with a rideshare fee

Terrestrial & Cislunar Exploration technologies borrow $1.3 Billion that accrues to a Leveraged ESOP.Deductions are made to this sum for in-kind equipment transferred to the project.As many as 6 instruments might be in-kind so between $300 to $400 Million need not be borrowed by the leveraged ESOP.In the case of the 3 instruments that we are selling data with the ESOP company would purchase these along with the ULA ACES spacecraft.What instrument has the most data values? would the customer be willing to pay for that additional value? To us, the most valuable instruments would be the science imaging cameras.The ESOP company would hire our own PI for these, however, we would like to point out that idea from previous posts on this blog that those PI’s would be co-employees with the ESOP and their home institutions.As the ESOP debt is paid down the science investigators and engineers would vest in the success of the ESOP pension plan

Our goal would be to use profits earned after ESOP debt retirement and employee pension payouts to invest in the serial production of more ACES/ESPA spacecraft and those instruments we have purchased, ICE giant spacecraft should be able to share the same 13 instruments at Neptune Uranus and a return to Saturn ditto Jupiter flyby science in route

Last week we wrote about a ULA ACES with ESPA rings both forward and aft of the ACES the aft ESPA ring held connections for an ACES solar array that powers a onboard SEP engine.The Xenon is kept cryogenic to save the weight of the propellant tank mass and is cryocooled by the ACES LH2 After 5 AU the solar array/ESPA ring detaches.In the case of Saturn, we keep this solar array ring so that some RTGs can descend to Titan with an ESPA ring in a floating HIAD on a Titan sea.Hopefully, the very long descent by parachute would allow the HIAD to cool 🙂 The HIAD is our flotation mechanism and the ESPA ring provides the structure to the landed instruments.Perhaps a modest submarine on a tether could be deployed and retrieved

Year 1                        Year 2                 Year 3

$17 Million

$17 Million           in progress………….

$17 Million

$17 Million

In-kind furnished instruments with rideshare fee

 

 

 

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What we should do next 2.0 ?

(A)(1) Investigate with ground based systems miscibility of noble ullage gases with cryogenic LH2, LO2 and LCH4

(A)(2) investigate mixing of noble gas ullage with Cryogenic propellants over hours, days and  weeks

(B)(1) investigate in space liquefaction/fractionation machinery in conjunction with a zero boil off unit.

(B)(2) this machinery would be used to process gasses H2 and O2 out of noble ullage/ion propellant in hybrid chemical ion powered systems; investigate with ground based experiments a Liquid air fractionation unit

(B)(3) removal of noble elements out of LH2 and LO2 in the case of a chemical refueling of a hybrid powered stage

(C)(1) investigate with ground based experiments with removing Noble gasses from Nitrogen oxygen gases in the case of habitat’s being re-purposed as ion propellant tank.This is also done with an in space liquid air liquefaction/fraternization system.

https://yellowdragonblog.com/2015/03/30/sls-skylab-iieus-deployed-pressurized-with-argonxenon-after-a-chemical-burn-sep-variant/ 

And;

https://yellowdragonblog.com/2015/04/11/liquefactionfractionation-unit-to-remove-gases-xenonargon-from-a-gases-hydrogen-or-methane-propellent/

(D)(1) We need to use a ground based experiment to study of Noble gas ullage/Ion propellants with hypergolic propellants; If these behave better on longer term missions and behave better on miscible issues then Hyperbolic chemical/ion powered hybrid stages then we could in future do trades with cryogenic ion powered hybrids

(E)(1) The ground based Air liquefaction/fractionation unit leads the way to IRSU of rocks.Imagine the system at work on a landed hybrid propellent Xues/Centuat lander coupled to a Oxygen production system.

(F)(1) Air Liquefaction/Fractionation unit allows for the GH2/GO2/GCH4 in the propellent tanks to be separated from one another and fed to both The IVF and Ion propulsion systems since we envision that both systems are present and that both use the same propellent and oxidizer  tanks.

EDIT 16 March 2016

(G) (1) Does Noble element ice sink or float in cryogenic oxidisers or propellant? I think if large Noble element ice forms it sinks

 

Lost oppertunity; Shuttle C as a combined dry and wetlab space station

 

 

The idea is that Shuttle C concept could have brought to LEO a side mounted space station and the External tank as a wet lab.This concept would trade some mass from the side mounted space station in exchange for a docking port to mate the ET tank to the side mount dry lab.

The External Tank was under the shuttle program purposely disposed of in a suborbital burn up on the other side of the planet in the south Pacific and the Indian Ocean.The Superlight weight tank (SLWT) at 26,500 Kg.

 

End of life use of reusable core stages as wetlab space stations

(A)(1) SpaceX Falcon and Falcon heavy core stages for use as future wet labs after their economic life as reusables are over(2) Falcon heavy center core to orbit without a payload.There is a student university study of a Falcon first stage in LEO being refueled and self-ferry to Mars orbit

https://www.reddit.com/r/spacex/comments/4g5d5d/falcon_9_ssto_simulation_or_how_to_get_to_orbit/

(A)(3) Blue Origin New Glen first stage as wet lab at end of life as a reusable launch vehicle

(A)(4) SpaceX BFR first stage as a wet lab space station at end of life as a launch vehicle this would be the mother of all space stations 🙂 Can the BRF first stage get into orbit without a payload?

All wet lab recycled core stages could have multiple uses as Propellent depots as well as space stations

 

You would think a all metal fuel might keep its integrity long enough to be used as spent fuel in a heavy water reactor? Cut up the spent PWR Lightbridge fuel to fit CANDU fuel bundle

You would think an all-metal fuel might keep its integrity long enough to be used as spent fuel in a heavy water reactor? Cut up the spent PWR Lightbridge fuel to fit CANDU fuel bundle

“Lightbridge DUPIC”

What would be the characteristics of Lightbridge spent fuel? An all metal fuel might retain its structural integrity and perhaps could be further burnup in a heavy water reactor

Perhaps Lightbridge could be used in PWR and heavy water reactors alongside existing fuel bundles so to lower plant retrofit costs?

Declad PWR fuel pellets from spent fuel melt into Lightbridge assembly is also another DUPIC pyro idea

Lightbridge post on Nextbigfuture

 

 

CO2 sequestration with a hybrid Algae Oyster IMTA system

Rough Draft

 

Many Algae CO2 sequestration systems have been proposed as well as many algae biofuel production systems, all of them fail at the point of energy conversion study.The cost of energy to dewater algae to harvest fuel or food is very high so the thought here is that we would not dewater the algae at all but utilize oysters to filter feed the algae on a vast industrial scale.To prevent disease a large industrial algae CO2 sequestration plant would need many segregated feed streams and different variety of organism to preclude a shutdown due to disease.

The shells would uptake the Algae that consumed the CO2 and in turn sequestered in the Oyster shells as calcium carbonate, we would seek to landfill the shells or sequester them in some form at least for 5 to 10 thousand years as a buffer to allow geological forces to sequester the CO2 from the atmosphere

Question? does the Oyster sequester atmospheric CO2 for its shell or does it metabolize it from the Algae? Does it release CO2 from the Algae?

Our plan would be to increase sustainable seashell aquaculture to sequester 10% of the worlds CO2 production after accounting for energy consumed in the sequester process.

let’s have some fun!

How may Oyster shells represent 15% of an average Americans CO2 production? I think  20 metric tons per year is the number lets go with say 4 metric tons of oyster shells put away in a landfill

4 metric tons / 365 days per year could yield 0.0109589041 metric tons per day or 24 pounds of shells

http://www.fresh-seafood.net/fish-shellfish/seafood-sizes-weights-measures/

The above website suggests that eating 3 pounds of Oysters a day would give me these  24 pounds of shells 🙂

could you eat that many? here are some papers on Oyster shell weights Moles

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/276190912_A_Shell-Neutral_Modeling_Approach_Yields_Sustainable_Oyster_Harvest_Estimates_A_Retrospective_Analysis_of_the_Louisiana_State_Primary_Seed_Grounds

 

Moles of CO2 + Ca =   CaCO3

 

World prices per metric ton of oyster shells

$300 per metric ton of oyster shell from China but you want to buy local shells for a low carbon footprint

http://www.alibaba.com/showroom/oyster-shells.html

CO2 in Carbon tax schemes put a price on emissions per ton so we need to compute the value of oyster shell per ton

I think calcium carbonate is Half CO2** so this is $600 carbon tax delivered by oyster 🙂 Or is $150 per ton of Co2 ,but fear not we ate those oysters first did we not? But now we are back to eating 6 pounds per day per person so we need to downshift our personal sequestering of carbon or you could buy local shells on an Oyster shell carbon market

**https://socratic.org/questions/caco3-decomposed-into-cao-and-co2-calculate-the-mass-of-co2-released-when-300g-o

Or

“CaCO3(s)+ΔCaO(s)+CO2(g)

“And thus 1 equiv of calcium carbonate decomposes with heat to give 1 equiv of calcium oxide, and 1 equiv of carbon dioxide.”

 

 

This article discusses utilizing the oyster shells however many of the ideas here do not sequester CO2, even the reefs of discarded shells might not sequester past several centuries(?) Shells buried by easteuries or behind dams might do better plus provide that ecological services

This plan must be local!

New York City is using Oyster along with IMTA seaweed for bioremediation of the water column and indirectly sediments so we could set up a three-part Oster shell economy.(A)(1) part one would be New York purchases all restaurant shells at a set rate say $150 per metric ton regardless where the restaurant bought them from(A)(2) New York pays $300 per ton of Bioremediation Oyster shells from non edible oysters from New York City waters(A)(3) New York pays $400 per metric ton for shells from edible oysters only  if they are grown with a IMTA system IE seaweed cooproduction and are from city waters.

 

Terrestrial and exo propellent procured to launch services contract and not attributed to any AO Finance Cap

Terrestrial and exo propellent procured to launch services contract and not attributed to any AO Finance Cap

This is my proposal to the OPAG 2018

Findings

SMD will in the next decadel demonstrate propellent tanker transfer to a science mission spacecraft as a launch service commercially procured

Tanker and service is R&D infusion to the mission outside the mission AO cost caps and the Propellent is commercially procured through NASA launch contracting and is not a part of AO costs caps.

if the above is a step too far consider SMD and other directorates doing a  pathfinder mission outside of any AO and this is a full rehearsal of an SMD mission with a fully refueled kick stage.Propellent transfer to a kick stage in cislunar space is a major part of human and cargo transfer so The human spaceflight directorate would pay a portion of a SMD pathfinder.

Commercial competition between SEP and ACES stages for Cislunar space as a tug is extensible to competitively bided SEP and ACES for solar system transport for deep space science missions

We assume that do to EXO R&D costs and infrastructure that EXO propellent is a bit further down the road then we would like so terrestrial propellent might be what’s offered at first “commercially”

 

 

 

 

BFR/ITS revenue & self ferry flights from off shore camp Pendleton to the east coast & Polar orbit

Hypothesis; self-ferry BFR and ITS with passengers and cargo from a launch offshore of Camp Pendleton Ca and inland national forests around Mount Palomar observatory to Spaceport America for the BFR with the ITS delivered to Texas and/or Florida

This would be done instead of land or sea transport of BFR/ITS from Hawthorne Ca. The inland route across Camp Pendleton and the national forests are low population areas in case of a mishap.Cruise ships often preposition from one part of the world to another and offer low fares so passengers and cargo could make these repositioning trips.BFR could make intermediate stops at NASA centers in route for government cargos and passengers with local and state governments setting up spaceports at each site.NASA centers would vie to have these.

Utilizing NASA centers as BFR spaceports is a long-term marketing strategy, it encourages the centers to spend center funds to load passengers and cargo onto these short hops California to Florida ferry flights and possibly encourages the FAA to permit overland flights.Thes flights serve as suborbital science missions.

The Offshore Camp Pendleton launch site could be San Diego and Los Angelus airport authority sponsored

Offshore Camp Pendleton provides for an ITS Sunsynchronus Polar orbits that could feature a cargo bay with a vast hosted payload of earth observation and weather sensors.The 40 passengers cabins would offer seasonal views of the Arctic and Antarctic! Perhaps the vast size of the ITS offers low vibration from docking human crews to the earth observation instruments?

After a number of years, this Polar orbit ITS would return to earth for refurbishment and flight

 

Cellular agriculture of endangered and controversial food animals as a method of conservation

Could we eat cellular agriculture produced meat from controversial or endangered animals?

Would meat produced in this way encourage the consumption of the natural product? ***

Or could we replace whaling or harvesting endangered animals with Celluar agriculture produced meat?

sea turtle

shark fin soup

whale

dog

*** consumption of products from the natural source could be reduced if the cellular agriculture process produced a quality product that cost less then the wild harvested product.

 

I suggested this idea to youtube Memphis meats back on November 2, 2016

My comments here

 

 

 

 

 

 

Heavy water reactors to utilize Spent Naval HEU fuel

Heavy water reactors to utilize Spent Naval HEU fuel

The Key question here is how would spent Highly Enriched Uranium reactor fuel behave in a heavy reactor environment? After decades at the Naval facility in Idaho, how hot is the spent fuel?

Would the integrity of the Naval spent fuel to allow for its reuse onboard a heavy water reactor?How long would spent HEU power a heavy water reactor or what would be its burn up rate?

A Canadian type reactor could allow refueling and defueling while underway at sea and spent heavy water HEU could be stored onboard ship to recover waste heat.

 

ULA ACES & ESPA ring outer planet probe 2.0

Takeaways from past ULA ACES ESPA ring outer planets science missions posts

(A) there is no docked spacecraft, the ACES is the science probe.

(B)The NASA launch services contract pays for a portion of the ACES as upper stage and this portion does not come under the AO mission cost caps.

(C) The ACES is a certified launch vehicle that should reflect on TRL of the proposed science mission, a certified lunch vehicle should receive the highest TRL form the AO selection committee for an ACES science probe

(D) The ACES IVF controller and ACES avionics are meant to last for 20 years in deep space and are partnered with the flight computer and data systems for science, This means the system must be able to do station keeping, instrument pointing and small TCM with ballistic moon flybys.This systems science instruments and Xenon station keeping requires RTG so that end of mission does not occur after IVF system exhaustion.The OPAG Ice Giant study report states that deep space avionics and comnav are $300 million per flight and the 13 science instruments are  $400 Million, there is no real way to reduce this cost for reliability

(E) the ESPA rings are about 5.4 meters < to match that of the ACES both aft and forward bulkhead some of the most foreword ESPA rings can be smaller(landers)

(F)The aft ESPA ring has electrical connections to the IVF controller and deploys a solar array that powers a SEP engine, RTG only powers science and avionics & comnav.Keep this solar array for Saturn missions jettison for Uranus Neptune.

(G) The ACES propellent  intertank regions can carry atmosphere probes

(H) ACES that does Venus Earth Earth trajectory to the outer planets benefit from a Methane LH2 gell to lower boil off

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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